15 June 2007

accounting for government grants

A flurry of activity today... I recently wrote an article for
accountingweb.co.uk and it has just been published. It on the correct thing
topic of SSAP 4: accounting for government grants. It's not a particularly
gripping article but it is accurate and up to date and you can read it here
... although you might, might, have to register and login:
http://www.accountingweb.co.uk/cgi-bin/item.cgi?id=169192&d=1032&h=1024&f=10
26&dateformat=%25o%20%25B%20%25Y

Duncan Williamson

The Long Tail

I realise that not everyone has read the book The Long Tail by Chris Anderson; but of course you've all at least read my review of it. Well, here is a really recent and good example of how the long tail is being used by a real company.

 

Amazon.com has announced that it is to sell digital music from its site. Of course, there are lots of words about the tracks being copyright free, strategy and opening up the market and la, la, la; but I think the reality is that they realised what Anderson said in his book that whilst they can host, say, 100,000 CDs on the site; music sites like Rhapsody can effectively host an infinite number of titles. Rhapsody sells from millions of tracks rather than just 100,000.

 

My review is here http://www.duncanwil.co.uk/book_reviews/ande.html

 

And there is an article on Amazon's new strategy at the Financial Times here http://search.ft.com/ftArticle?id=070516012284

 

Duncan Williamson

Top 50 Blogs

Simulcast: you NEED to look at the list of the top 50 Blogs ... according to the Times OnlIne:

 

http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/industry_sectors/media/article1923706.ece

 

DW

Terry Smith ...

Terry Smith is the chief executive of Tullett Prebon and chairman of Collins Stewart and he has written an article for the Financial Times, published today. In the build up to this article Mr Smith was presented as being forthright, I would present him as being ridiculous. Smith's gripe is that some of his shareholders firstly don't like some of his ideas and secondly write to him and tell him so. If I were the chief executive of a public company, I would expect my shareholders to write to me from time to time to praise, to cajole and to criticise. As the head of an organisation, you are there to represent the organisation, Mr Smith, so what is your problem?

Here are a few of the things that Smith says today, in italics, with my comments following:

As we de merged Collins Stewart and Tullett Prebon last December, we have just had two annual general meetings for our companies. This has multiplied the amount of annoying trivia received from some of the proxy agencies and a few shareholders whose approach to business might be described as Tree huggers do corporate governance.

The most frequent complaint was that our executive bonuses are uncapped. Most of our staff are rational and, if you cap their rewards, when they reach the cap they stop work.

>> I find that astonishing. It is a fundamental principle of remuneration that it is first and foremost transparent, everyone knows how to calculate their pay; and secondly that people are rewarded fairly. In return, there has to be a link between reward and effort. I would go on to say, if someone earns a large amount of money then they must put in a large amount of effort. The suggestion is that people at Smith's business are the kind of people who are being paid £x and if they think that they should be paid more than they stop working. I would sack them: I wouldn't want such people working for me.

It has been a principle of Collins Stewart from its foundation to ensure that as much of our employees' pay as possible is variable. In a cyclical business (and financial markets are still cyclical, despite rumours to the contrary put about by the new generation of Masters of the Universe) making a company's main costs truly variable is one of the few protections that management can put in place. Just one of the proxy agencies (ISS) who wrote to us grasped the reality, saying: the bonus scheme is uncapped...We recognise that this is standard practice in the financial sector. Hallelujah!

>> whilst I agree with the main sentiments of that paragraph, it ends in a nonsense way: simply being standard practice in the financial sector doesn't mean that that's financial sector understands everything and has got it right!

In some cases, the objection was simply that the remuneration was too large. Compared with what? Profits? Pay in similar organisations? No, the combined analytical might of the proxy agencies and those shareholders has alighted upon the view that bonuses are large in comparison with salaries. It does not seem to have occurred to them that this is a consequence of keeping basic salaries low to protect against a downturn in revenues.

>> given that comment about comparison with profits and I don't know how Smith's business calculates its bonuses, I would be interested to learn if their bonuses are linked to profit. Remember, I wrote about Marks & Spencer a few months ago and how their chief executive and some senior directors' salaries are tied to profits. Those profits were inflated purely as a result of accounting changes arising from moving to international financial reporting standards. Stuart Rose and others were rewarded for having to do nothing to earn that part of their bonus relating to the accounting change.

Even more annoying are those shareholders such as the Cooperative Insurance, Universities Superannuation Scheme and the Churches, Charities and Local Authorities (spot a trend here?) who complain year after year.

>> the Cooperative insurance Society has responded by saying that they only asked questions when they don't understand or don't agree. Freedom of speech Mr Smith?

If there is one thing more annoying than this focus on uncapped pay, it is the insistence on getting companies to produce a litany of platitudes on environmental and social matters. The Institutional Voting Information Service of the Association of British Insurers produces guidelines that include such banal questions as whether directors' training includes environmental, social and governance matters, or whether the annual report publishes key performance indicators on material ESG risks. Most directors find running a business difficult enough without having to pay lip-service to this tosh.

>> I generally agree that a lot of what passes for environmental and social reporting really is tosh. However, it is well known that companies that genuinely take the environment and corporate social responsibility seriously perform much better than companies which don't: in terms of their stock market performance and in terms of the profitability. If you believe, Mr Smith, that you are producing platitudes on the environment and social responsibility, why not change it and publish something better? Why not be a leader, Mr Smith, rather than a bleater?

>> my final point is that we have had the fatcat debate several times and the fat cats are still licking the cream. For some reason, Mr Smith is still engaged in this debate and if so it may be with good reason. Some people, they seem to be shareholders of Mr Smith's companies, are asking him to consider his policies. If I were a shareholder in his companies now I would give him a hard time. In the same way, I would give Stuart Rose at Marks & Spencer a hard time: in this latter case let me remind you that one of the questions that a shareholder wanted to ask at the last Marks & Spencer annual general meeting about bonuses based on profits was ignored… they ran out of time to answer it!

By the way, there is Terry Smith who was famous in the accounting world from I'll when he wrote the excellent book, Accounting for Growth: that book was one of the first to reveal much of what we now know about window dressing, off balance sheet finance and other shenanigans that is accountants and managers get up to. I hope the Terry Smith who wrote in the financial Times today is not the same Terry Smith who wrote that book ... UPDATE: I just went to the Tullett Prebon web site and found that it IS the same Terry Smith. How the Leopard changes its spots!

Duncan Williamson

14 June 2007

Oil ... going or gone?

There's a story in today's Financial Times about oil. The gist of the story is that there are something like 40 years’ worth of a of oil left at current rates of usage and so given the changes in technology and so forth, the world has got plenty of time to sort itself out and survive.

 

I just went to buy some petrol and in the shop I saw the headline in the Independent newspaper of today which says that oil is going to run out in four years! Unfortunately I don't have chance to read that story from the Independent but you can see, same story, different points of view.

 

Since I haven’t read the Independent’s story I can't really comment except to say it looks like tosh to me if only because in the Canadian oil sands there's more oil, I understand, than there is in Saudi Arabia currently. Since Saudi Arabia has 25% of the world's oil that tends to suggest that peak oil hasn't quite arrived.

 

I am well aware that getting the oil out of the sand in Canada won't be easy. However, I also understand that Canadian oil field is viable at an oil price of $40 per barrel... the price of oil has been over $60 a barrel for quite a while now. Maybe things are moving quicker than we think.

 

Duncan Williamson

12 June 2007

Storage

Have you read the Economist this week? No? There's an article entitled 'Taking storage to the next dimension'.

 

Are you old enough to remember using those 5.25 inch floppy disks, let alone 3.4" floppies? No? Well, CDs were huge when they came in weren't they? NO, then you remember DVDs really.

 

Well, BluRay has come along with its 25Gb storage capacity. Then the other day I mentioned the terabyte drive I saw in a shop the other day.

 

Well, that article tells us that some Fortune 1000 companies are storing as much as 680 terabytes of data and information EVERY YEAR. So that's a lot then ... just work out what it means if you can!

 

Now there is going to be holographic storage: 300 gigabytes on a disk which is 12 times what we can get on a BluRay disk and 60 times more than a DVD. Not big enough for you? Well, the article says that within a few years, those 300 Gb will become 1,600Gb or 1.6Tb.

 

Holographic disks don't spin, either, their rotate ever so slowly ... read the article to see why! They're not slow to write either, as they will transfer data at the rate of one million bits at a time. That translates to 160 megabits a second.

 

These are corporate dreams at the moment and since large corporations pay a lot to store their data on magnetic tapes that take up lots of room and so on, please bear in mind that a holographic drive will cost $18,000 and each 300Gb disk will cost $180.

 

Thought you'd like to know that!

 

DW

Xmas is over ...

Just driving back from dropping off Master W and realised that I've still
got my Christmas CDs in the car's stereo ... must take them out soon!

DW

08 June 2007

Good for business

This is a simulcast, although I intended only to post it here!
 
It had to happen, I suppose.
 
The accountancy profession has finally decided to get on board the Royalty Express. From the Accounting Education web site comes the following:
 
HRH the Prince of Wales has accepted an invitation to become the first honorary member of the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England & Wales (ICAEW).

The Prince of Wales was nominated in recognition of his commitment to the sustainability agenda and, in particular, his involvement of the accountancy profession through the Accounting for Sustainability project. The honour is also in recognition of the assistance that the Prince of Wales has given to young people and to business generally by the promotion of business start-ups, personal development and community projects through the Prince's Trust and other initiatives.

In making the announcement at the Institute's Annual Lunch, ICAEW President Richard Dyson said: "At our annual dinner in 2005, the Prince of Wales challenged the accountancy profession to play its part in the sustainability agenda. He recognised that we could have a great deal to offer and I believe the ICAEW has risen to that challenge through its work on sustainability and measurement. I'm delighted that he has accepted honorary membership. It is our way of thanking him not just for the leadership he has given on this issue but also for the contribution he has made to business over many years."

The category of honorary membership of the ICAEW was approved in June 2006 at the institute's annual general meeting to recognise those who have made an outstanding contribution to the accountancy profession and/or the finance and business world. Any member can suggest individuals for the accolade. All suggestions received are considered by the institute's nominations committee before a formal proposal is made to Council who make the final decision.
 
It's taken the Institue something like 100 years to think of a way to get a Royal involved so that they can cringe and fawn all over it.
 
 
Duncan Williamson


--
Duncan Williamson

07 June 2007

Sportingbet

PLEASE FORGIVE ANY NAFF FORMATTING OF THIS POST: it's entirely beyond my powers to improve on ... priase blogger.com for that!

Here's an example of the sort of thing we can do with only a very limited amount of information. Here are a few snippets of information relating to a company called Sportingbet plc that was the victim, if that's the right word, of a crackdown in the United States on online gambling. The Financial Times says today, 'Sportingbet saw third quarter profit hit by its withdrawal from the US market in the wake of last October’s crackdown on online gaming …'

The FT then gave a small amount information, which are put into the table that follows:

The FT then gave a small amount information, which are put into the table that follows:

3 mo to 30 Apr 07 3 mo to 30 Apr 06
Sales 291.1 507.3
Operating Profit -63.5 21.7
Profit before tax -62.9 21.2

That’s it! What can we do it that you might ask? Well, quite a bit actually; and this is it.

Firstly, we can derive total costs (we can also derive operating costs; but I don’t want to do absolutely everything otherwise it will be boring) and from there we can use fairly simple arithmetic and even graphical analysis to derive the total cost function. The total cost function and arrived is

TC = 176.1 -0.6 11X

Where TC is the total cost taken by subtracting the profit before tax from the sales and
X is the value of sales

I found that function by using the trendline function on a spreadsheet chart and I could have done it by using the regression analysis.

I can now use the function derived to estimate total cost at any level of sales and I can use such a function for, for example, preparing a budget or more accurately preparing a flexible budgets.

I drew a graph of the basic data too and it looks like this:






As a matter of interest, take a look at the following two charts: both are share price charts for Sportingbetplc as at early today. However, one covers the last six months and the other covers the last 12 months! Startling difference between them don't you think?
























































3 mo to 30 Apr 07




3 mo to 30 Apr 06




Sales




291.1




507.3




Operating Profit




-63.5




21.7




Profit before tax




-62.9




21.2


Duncan Williamson

06 June 2007

InkJet Ink

As those of all got one now at home anyway, one of those all singing, all dancing, multifunctional printers. These things print, scan, fax and other stuff as well. Of course the biggest problem with is the cost of their ink. For my own printer, and Epson CX6400, cartridges can cost up to around £30 each. Now, no one in their right mind will pay such an amount of money when the suppliers who charge as little as five or six pounds and the same thing.

 

However, in spite of all that little bit of a rant, I have just read an article in the Financial Times which discusses the new Kodak multifunctional printer. Here is my summary of that article.

 

The wicked price of ink By Paul Taylor 31st May 2007

 

Taylor began by talking about paying as much as $80 for one cartridge which he says was about twice what I was expecting to pay and about a third of the price of the printer itself.

 

To cut a long story short, having had such a shock, he then took a look at their new Kodak printer and it’s a body found.

 

… Kodak … a new entrant to the printer market. Kodak’s multifunction printers, launched in the US and Europe over the past few months, cost slightly more than equivalent models from more established vendors. For example, the base model, dubbed the EasyShare 5100, costs $150, about $50 more than equivalent models from market leaders Hewlett-Packard, Canon and Epson.

 

But the pigment ink they use not only produces exceptionally long-lasting prints, according to Kodak; the replacement cartridges, priced at $10 (£7 in the UK) for black and $15 (£10) for a colour cartridge, will also save consumers up to 50 per cent on everything they print.

 

Not surprisingly, Kodak’s rivals have rushed to challenge these claims. HP, for example, claims that Kodak’s comparisons were faulty and were like “comparing apples to oranges”. HP adds that many of its products “offer more features and better technology at the same price points”.

 

Comparing printing costs is difficult given the number of variables, but it is worth checking out Kodak’s claims (http://tinyurl.com/yv4xq4).

 

One of the Kodak tricks apparently is that all of their new printers use the same low priced ink cartridges (one black and one containing cyan, magenta, yellow, photo black, and a clear, protective ink) … Kodak also claims that the image is of very high quality and that any photographs for example printed with them will last a lifetime.

 

Taylor tested the mid range EasyShare 5300 printer and says it produces high-quality glossy images that are virtually indistinguishable from those produced by a commercial photo lab …

Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2007

 

So if Taylor has done anything he at least has presented a case for testing the competition since I’m sure that most of us have an Epson printer, a Hewlett-Packard printer of one of the other well-known brand names. So welcome Kodak and if any of your models is appropriate to me then when I come to upgrade may be to do.

 

Duncan Williamson

04 June 2007

The AQA exam ... TODAY

Tell me, has anyone from tutor2u or any of our other competitors spent part of the weekend answering questions both face to face and by email from candidates about to take the AQA AS level business studies exam?

 

WE DID and we are happy to continue to provide such a service.

 

It's 10:21 am now on the day of the Units 1, 2 and 3 exam and I have just sent a message to one candidate in response to her third question of the last two days.

 

Duncan Williamson